W75 Glasgow: Hannah Klugman vs Tessa Johanna Brockmann

5 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold Hannah Klugman (50%) · Hannah Klugman at 100¢ · $1K held · ends Nov 6

Hannah Klugman>99¢Tessa Johanna Brockmann<1¢Ends Fri, Nov 6, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Hannah Klugman

Consensus Traders

Hannah Klugman 50%

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

-$11.36

Smart Money Entry

85.7¢ → 100¢

+17% since entry · 5 traders

Research grade

NeutralHannah Klugman at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Hannah Klugman

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Hannah Klugman100%

Tessa Johanna Brockmann0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Hannah Klugman5 traders

Total Value$1.0K

Total Shares1,165

Combined PnL+$6.95

Tessa Johanna Brockmann5 traders

Total Value$120.42

Total Shares847

Combined PnL-$18.31

Hannah Klugman — 50%Tessa Johanna Brockmann — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh	Hannah Klugmanavg 85¢	$425.78	$415.95	-$9.83	48% 753-814 (1567)
poshposh	Hannah Klugmanavg 90.1¢	$194.95	$208.9	+$13.95	59% 9914-6887 (16801)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846	Hannah Klugmanavg 84.5¢	$173.15	$177.33	+$4.17	59% 30364-21075 (51439)
TH thestingsnake	Hannah Klugmanavg 88.5¢	$150.5	$150.45	-$0.05	60% 4032-2723 (6755)
TO topdogbigboiCTR	Tessa Johanna Brockmannavg 14.9¢	$104.48	$80.57	-$23.91	38% 3185-5189 (8374)
OM omnibus-076daa<$100	Hannah Klugmanavg 74.4¢	$56.16	$54.86	-$1.3	49% 18979-19390 (38369)
0X 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542CTR<$100	Tessa Johanna Brockmannavg 21¢	$13.65	$17.88	+$4.23	47% 2468-2770 (5238)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100	Tessa Johanna Brockmannavg 25¢	$16.46	$16.73	+$1.52	58% 41488-30106 (71594)
0X 0x61A8D4b326218a2Fd2AbD32b0670b16bA2F41Ad4-1785951411525CTR<$100	Tessa Johanna Brockmannavg 29¢	$4.64	$4.4	-$0.24	50% 97-96 (193)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Tessa Johanna Brockmannavg 15¢	$0.75	$0.85	+$0.1	46% 7940-9367 (17307)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Hannah Klugman

Invested

$425.78

Value

$415.95

PnL

-$9.83

Record

48%

753-814 (1567)

poshposh

Hannah Klugman

Invested

$194.95

Value

$208.9

PnL

+$13.95

Record

59%

9914-6887 (16801)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

Hannah Klugman

Invested

$173.15

Value

$177.33

PnL

+$4.17

Record

59%

30364-21075 (51439)

thestingsnake

Hannah Klugman

Invested

$150.5

Value

$150.45

PnL

-$0.05

Record

60%

4032-2723 (6755)

topdogbigboiCTR

Tessa Johanna Brockmann

Invested

$104.48

Value

$80.57

PnL

-$23.91

Record

38%

3185-5189 (8374)

omnibus-076daa<$100

Hannah Klugman

Invested

$56.16

Value

$54.86

PnL

-$1.3

Record

49%

18979-19390 (38369)

0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542CTR<$100

Tessa Johanna Brockmann

Invested

$13.65

Value

$17.88

PnL

+$4.23

Record

47%

2468-2770 (5238)

VeryLucky888CTR<$100

Tessa Johanna Brockmann

Invested

$16.46

Value

$16.73

PnL

+$1.52

Record

58%

41488-30106 (71594)

0x61A8D4b326218a2Fd2AbD32b0670b16bA2F41Ad4-1785951411525CTR<$100

Tessa Johanna Brockmann

Invested

$4.64

Value

$4.4

PnL

-$0.24

Record

50%

97-96 (193)

38791873984189CTR<$100

Tessa Johanna Brockmann

Invested

$0.75

Value

$0.85

PnL

+$0.1

Record

46%

7940-9367 (17307)

Research grade

NeutralHannah Klugman at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

Hannah Klugman

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Hannah Klugman wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.