W75 Sydney: Laquisa Khan vs BoYoung Jeong

7 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold Laquisa Khan (70%) · Laquisa Khan at 100¢ · $3K held · ends Nov 22

Laquisa Khan>99¢BoYoung Jeong<1¢Ends Sun, Nov 22, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Laquisa Khan

Consensus Traders

Laquisa Khan 70%

Total Value

$2.5K

Combined PnL

$186.97

Smart Money Entry

51.5¢ → 99.5¢

+93% since entry · 7 traders

Research grade

NeutralLaquisa Khan at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Laquisa Khan

7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Laquisa Khan100%

BoYoung Jeong1%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Laquisa Khan7 traders

Total Value$1.9K

Total Shares3,121

Combined PnL-$202.81

BoYoung Jeong3 traders

Total Value$583.35

Total Shares931

Combined PnL+$389.78

Laquisa Khan — 70%BoYoung Jeong — 30%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

4 traders

Top 2 hold 96%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

67% of non-arb traders are on Laquisa Khan. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 96% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrLaquisa Khan 67% · 3

Aligned

Top 1000Laquisa Khan 67% · 6

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
NO NotJump	Laquisa Khanavg 50¢	$1.1K	$987	-$63	51% 994-962 (1956)
01 01258787xy48487484545122	Laquisa Khanavg 99¢	$693.99	$697.5	+$3.5	68% 179-85 (264)
SP SpringlyFawlCTR	BoYoung Jeongavg 1¢	$7.01	$574.82	+$567.81	3% 10-315 (325)
38 38791873984189	Laquisa Khanavg 18¢	$110.4	$110.24	-$0.16	47% 3580-3963 (7543)
TO topdogbigboi<$100	Laquisa Khanavg 22.5¢	$78.16	$62.52	-$15.64	38% 1351-2180 (3531)
CA CandleHammerDrums<$100	Laquisa Khanavg 17¢	$41.27	$43.76	+$2.49	49% 573-601 (1174)
SM smithagent<$100	Laquisa Khanavg 98¢	$98	$18	-$80	46% 809-954 (1763)
dips.<$100	Laquisa Khanavg 92.1¢	$62.15	$12.15	-$50	48% 1156-1264 (2420)
PA Pan9XCTR<$100	BoYoung Jeongavg 84¢	$7.61	$7.43	-$0.18	50% 1850-1880 (3730)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR	BoYoung Jeongavg 81.1¢	$178.96	$1.1	-$177.85	40% 652-976 (1628)

NotJump

Laquisa Khan

Invested

$1,050

Value

$987

PnL

-$63

Record

51%

994-962 (1956)

01258787xy48487484545122

Laquisa Khan

Invested

$693.99

Value

$697.5

PnL

+$3.5

Record

68%

179-85 (264)

SpringlyFawlCTR

BoYoung Jeong

Invested

$7.01

Value

$574.82

PnL

+$567.81

Record

10-315 (325)

38791873984189

Laquisa Khan

Invested

$110.4

Value

$110.24

PnL

-$0.16

Record

47%

3580-3963 (7543)

topdogbigboi<$100

Laquisa Khan

Invested

$78.16

Value

$62.52

PnL

-$15.64

Record

38%

1351-2180 (3531)

CandleHammerDrums<$100

Laquisa Khan

Invested

$41.27

Value

$43.76

PnL

+$2.49

Record

49%

573-601 (1174)

smithagent<$100

Laquisa Khan

Invested

$98

Value

$18

PnL

-$80

Record

46%

809-954 (1763)

dips.<$100

Laquisa Khan

Invested

$62.15

Value

$12.15

PnL

-$50

Record

48%

1156-1264 (2420)

Pan9XCTR<$100

BoYoung Jeong

Invested

$7.61

Value

$7.43

PnL

-$0.18

Record

50%

1850-1880 (3730)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR

BoYoung Jeong

Invested

$178.96

Value

$1.1

PnL

-$177.85

Record

40%

652-976 (1628)

Research grade

NeutralLaquisa Khan at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Laquisa Khan

7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

4 traders

Top 2 hold 96%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

67% of non-arb traders are on Laquisa Khan. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 96% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrLaquisa Khan 67% · 3

Aligned

Top 1000Laquisa Khan 67% · 6

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Laquisa Khan wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

99.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.