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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Daniel Jade — but Pavel Lagutin won instead.
M25 Vale do Lobo: Daniel Jade vs Pavel Lagutin
Resolved Pavel Lagutin. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Daniel Jade. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
12
Daniel Jade 67%
Total Value
$2.5K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Daniel Jade
8 of 12 top traders (67%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Daniel Jade0%
Pavel Lagutin100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xeab8525d...3f65d8
Slug
itf-jade1-laguti1-2026-11-15