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Luca PowLuca Pow
RN1<$100Alastair GrayAlastair Gray
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Alastair Gray
HRTradingCTR<$100Luca Pow
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Luca Pow — but Alastair Gray won instead.
M25 Norman, OK: Alastair Gray vs Luca Pow
Resolved Alastair Gray. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Luca Pow. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Luca Pow 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$54.03
Smart Money Signal
Luca Pow
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Alastair Gray100%
Luca Pow0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Luca Pow3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares273
Combined PnL-$55.36
Alastair Gray3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$1.33
Luca Pow — 50%Alastair Gray — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Luca Powavg 22.4¢ | $49.86 | — | -$49.86 | 46% 7988-9443 (17431) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Luca Powavg 11¢ | $50.19 | — | -$5.51 | 48% 765-826 (1591) |
RN1<$100 | Alastair Grayavg 68¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56326-48479 (104805) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Alastair Grayavg 56.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 18995-19405 (38400) |
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Alastair Grayavg 88¢ | $9.81 | — | +$1.33 | 86% 5097-864 (5961) |
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Luca Powavg 44¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 4004-3650 (7654) |
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$49.86
Value
—
PnL
-$49.86
Record
46%
7988-9443 (17431)
KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100Invested
$50.19
Value
—
PnL
-$5.51
Record
48%
765-826 (1591)
RN1<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56326-48479 (104805)
OM
omnibus-076daa<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
18995-19405 (38400)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$9.81
Value
—
PnL
+$1.33
Record
86%
5097-864 (5961)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
4004-3650 (7654)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9a55fe42...6d0854
Slug
itf-gray1-pow1-2026-10-30