Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Tilwith Di Girolami — but Beatrise Zeltina won instead.
W15 Paris: Tilwith Di Girolami vs Beatrise Zeltina
Resolved Beatrise Zeltina. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Tilwith Di Girolami. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
6
Tilwith Di Girolami 60%
$121.8
-$82.92
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CA CandleHammerDrums | Beatrise Zeltinaavg 95.3¢ | $173.61 | $98.57 | -$75.04 | 48% 423-457 (880) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Tilwith Di Girolamiavg 47¢ | $19.76 | $18.18 | -$1.59 | 37% 657-1141 (1798) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100 | Beatrise Zeltinaavg 40¢ | $2 | $5 | +$3 | 51% 2261-2214 (4475) |
NO NotJumpCTR | Tilwith Di Girolamiavg 50¢ | $1.1K | $0.05 | +$0 | 53% 631-566 (1197) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Tilwith Di Girolamiavg 44¢ | $8.8 | — | -$8.8 | 36% 432-771 (1203) |
 poshposhCTR<$100 | Tilwith Di Girolamiavg 33¢ | $0.49 | — | -$0.49 | 46% 781-902 (1683) |
Invested
$173.61
Value
$98.57
PnL
-$75.04
Record
48%
423-457 (880)
Invested
$19.76
Value
$18.18
PnL
-$1.59
Record
37%
657-1141 (1798)
Invested
$2
Value
$5
PnL
+$3
Record
51%
2261-2214 (4475)
Invested
$1,050
Value
$0.05
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
631-566 (1197)
Invested
$8.8
Value
—
PnL
-$8.8
Record
36%
432-771 (1203)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$0.49
Value
—
PnL
-$0.49
Record
46%
781-902 (1683)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CandleHammerDrums
Beatrise Zeltina — $98.57
topdogbigboi
CTRTilwith Di Girolami — $18.18
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Beatrise Zeltina — $5
NotJump
CTRTilwith Di Girolami — $0.05
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
CTRTilwith Di Girolami — $0
poshposh
CTRTilwith Di Girolami — $0