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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Aurora Corvi — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Aurora Corvi

W15 Nules: Juliana Giaccio vs Aurora Corvi

Resolved Aurora Corvi. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Aurora Corvi. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

Aurora Corvi 67%

Total Value

$1.6K

Combined PnL

$1.0K

Smart Money Signal

Aurora Corvi

9 of 13 top traders (69%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Juliana Giaccio0%

Aurora Corvi100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Aurora Corvi9 traders

Total Value$1.6K

Total Shares1,558

Combined PnL+$1.2K

Juliana Giaccio4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares436

Combined PnL-$148.53

Aurora Corvi — 69%Juliana Giaccio — 31%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh	Aurora Corviavg 11.1¢	$61.03	$547.94	+$486.91	51% 2261-2214 (4475)
CA CandleHammerDrums	Aurora Corviavg 28.5¢	$109.62	$384.68	+$275.06	48% 423-457 (880)
TO topdogbigboi	Aurora Corviavg 27.4¢	$122.92	$352.64	+$229.72	37% 657-1141 (1798)
dips.	Aurora Corviavg 18¢	$20.16	$112	+$91.84	46% 741-864 (1605)
SM smithagent	Aurora Corviavg 4¢	$4.13	$103.3	+$99.17	43% 507-662 (1169)
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100	Aurora Corviavg 98.4¢	$30.49	$31	+$0.51	98% 343-6 (349)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100	Aurora Corviavg 81¢	$15.39	$19	+$3.61	36% 432-771 (1203)
PA Pan9X<$100	Aurora Corviavg 19¢	$1.39	$7.34	+$5.95	49% 1306-1355 (2661)
NO NotJump	Aurora Corviavg 50¢	$1.1K	$0.05	+$0	53% 631-566 (1197)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	Juliana Giaccioavg 12.7¢	$39.26	—	-$39.26	53% 6618-5816 (12434)
GL glennyorkshireCTR<$100	Juliana Giaccioavg 81¢	$10	—	-$10	45% 139-172 (311)
LR lryyyCTR<$100	Juliana Giaccioavg 1¢	$0.11	—	-$0.11	45% 593-733 (1326)
poshposhCTR<$100	Juliana Giaccioavg 96¢	$99.17	—	-$99.17	46% 781-902 (1683)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Invested

$61.03

Value

$547.94

PnL

+$486.91

Record

51%

2261-2214 (4475)

CandleHammerDrums

Invested

$109.62

Value

$384.68

PnL

+$275.06

Record

48%

423-457 (880)

Invested

$122.92

Value

$352.64

PnL

+$229.72

Record

37%

657-1141 (1798)

Invested

$20.16

Value

$112

PnL

+$91.84

Record

46%

741-864 (1605)

Invested

$4.13

Value

$103.3

PnL

+$99.17

Record

43%

507-662 (1169)

0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100

Invested

$30.49

Value

$31

PnL

+$0.51

Record

98%

343-6 (349)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100

Invested

$15.39

Value

$19

PnL

+$3.61

Record

36%

432-771 (1203)

Invested

$1.39

Value

$7.34

PnL

+$5.95

Record

49%

1306-1355 (2661)

Invested

$1,050

Value

$0.05

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

631-566 (1197)

cigarettesCTR<$100

Juliana Giaccio

Invested

$39.26

Value

—

PnL

-$39.26

Record

53%

6618-5816 (12434)

glennyorkshireCTR<$100

Juliana Giaccio

Invested

$10

Value

—

PnL

-$10

Record

45%

139-172 (311)

Juliana Giaccio

Invested

$0.11

Value

—

PnL

-$0.11

Record

45%

593-733 (1326)

poshposhCTR<$100

Juliana Giaccio

Invested

$99.17

Value

—

PnL

-$99.17

Record

46%

781-902 (1683)

Smart Money Signal

Aurora Corvi

9 of 13 top traders (69%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xaa3a208a...08e7fe

Slug

itf-giacci1-corvi1-2026-11-13

Traders in this Market

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Aurora Corvi — $547.94

CandleHammerDrums

Aurora Corvi — $384.68

topdogbigboi

Aurora Corvi — $352.64

dips.

Aurora Corvi — $112

smithagent

Aurora Corvi — $103.3

0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105

Aurora Corvi — $31

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

Aurora Corvi — $19

Pan9X

Aurora Corvi — $7.34

NotJump

Aurora Corvi — $0.05

cigarettes

Juliana Giaccio — $0

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