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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Francesca Gandolfi β€” but Mailuodi Lei won instead.

W15 Monastir: Francesca Gandolfi vs Mailuodi Lei

Resolved Mailuodi Lei. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Francesca Gandolfi. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

5

Francesca Gandolfi 33%

Total Value

$910.11

Combined PnL

$-2.7K

Smart Money Signal

Francesca Gandolfi

2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Francesca Gandolfi0%
Mailuodi Lei100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Francesca Gandolfi2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares4,110
Combined PnL$-2.8K
Mailuodi Lei3 traders
Total Value$910.11
Total Shares910
Combined PnL+$129.69
Francesca Gandolfi β€” 40%Mailuodi Lei β€” 60%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x2e55e97d...93568a
Slug
itf-gandol2-lei1-2026-10-29
Trade on Polymarket