Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Natalia Fehr — but Viktoria Veleva won instead.

W50 Heraklion: Natalia Fehr vs Viktoria Veleva

Resolved Viktoria Veleva. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Natalia Fehr. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Natalia Fehr 86%

Total Value

$33.63

Combined PnL

-$151.58

Natalia Fehr

7 of 8 top traders (88%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Natalia Fehr0%

Viktoria Veleva100%

Viktoria Veleva1 trader

Total Value$28.58

Total Shares29

Combined PnL+$4.57

Natalia Fehr7 traders

Total Value$5.05

Total Shares1,325

Combined PnL-$156.16

Viktoria Veleva — 13%Natalia Fehr — 87%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100	Viktoria Velevaavg 84¢	$24.01	$28.58	+$4.57	41% 718-1033 (1751)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Natalia Fehravg 15.5¢	$95.52	$5	-$51.52	48% 3948-4293 (8241)
NO NotJumpCTR	Natalia Fehravg 50¢	$1.1K	$0.05	+$0	50% 1112-1113 (2225)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100	Natalia Fehravg 16¢	$43.11	—	-$43.11	50% 2835-2864 (5699)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	Natalia Fehravg 5¢	$0.16	—	-$0.16	53% 7468-6589 (14057)
SM smithagentCTR<$100	Natalia Fehravg 7.6¢	$5.68	—	-$5.68	46% 873-1017 (1890)
CA CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100	Natalia Fehravg 6.4¢	$17.46	—	-$17.46	49% 629-659 (1288)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Natalia Fehravg 10.7¢	$38.23	—	-$38.23	39% 1554-2430 (3984)