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Aryan LakshmananChirag DuhanChirag DuhanChirag Duhan
HRTradingCTR<$100Chirag Duhan
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Chirag Duhan — but Aryan Lakshmanan won instead.
M15 Fergana: Chirag Duhan vs Aryan Lakshmanan
Resolved Aryan Lakshmanan. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Chirag Duhan. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Chirag Duhan 75%
Total Value
$20
Combined PnL
-$20.68
Smart Money Signal
Chirag Duhan
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Chirag Duhan0%
Aryan Lakshmanan100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Aryan Lakshmanan1 trader
Total Value$20
Total Shares20
Combined PnL+$0.6
Chirag Duhan4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares89
Combined PnL-$21.28
Aryan Lakshmanan — 20%Chirag Duhan — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100 | Aryan Lakshmananavg 97¢ | $19.4 | $20 | +$0.6 | 95% 22888-1151 (24039) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Chirag Duhanavg 66.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 30088-20805 (50893) |
AD adururuCTR<$100 | Chirag Duhanavg 23¢ | $43.98 | — | -$10.12 | 54% 356-309 (665) |
OX oxe78sh4w98CTR<$100 | Chirag Duhanavg 23¢ | $43.98 | — | -$10.12 | 53% 328-291 (619) |
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Chirag Duhanavg 70¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 53% 3046-2708 (5754) |
0X
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100Invested
$19.4
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.6
Record
95%
22888-1151 (24039)
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
30088-20805 (50893)
AD
adururuCTR<$100Invested
$43.98
Value
—
PnL
-$10.12
Record
54%
356-309 (665)
OX
oxe78sh4w98CTR<$100Invested
$43.98
Value
—
PnL
-$10.12
Record
53%
328-291 (619)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
53%
3046-2708 (5754)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4c383f50...7943c5
Slug
itf-duhan1-lakshm1-2026-10-28