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W75 Poitiers: Gina Marie Dittmann vs Marine Partaud

4 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold Gina Marie Dittmann (67%) · Gina Marie Dittmann at 100¢ · $813 held · ends Nov 4

Gina Marie Dittmann>99¢Marine Partaud<1¢Ends Wed, Nov 4, 2026View on Polymarket
SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Gina Marie Dittmann

Consensus Traders

6

Gina Marie Dittmann 67%

Total Value

$813.05

Combined PnL

$254.46

Smart Money Entry

59¢ → 100¢

+69% since entry · 4 traders

Research grade

NeutralGina Marie Dittmann at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

  • Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Gina Marie Dittmann

4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Gina Marie Dittmann100%
Marine Partaud0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Gina Marie Dittmann4 traders
Total Value$808.01
Total Shares872
Combined PnL+$254.92
Marine Partaud2 traders
Total Value$5.05
Total Shares26
Combined PnL-$0.46
Gina Marie Dittmann — 67%Marine Partaud — 33%

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$0.10
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0xf191e884...fff918
Slug
itf-dittma1-partau1-2026-10-28
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