Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Gabriel Augusto Carvalho — but Ryan Char won instead.
M25 Lajeado: Ryan Char vs Gabriel Augusto Carvalho
Resolved Ryan Char. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Gabriel Augusto Carvalho. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Gabriel Augusto Carvalho 71%
$1.1K
$-2.5K
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846 | Ryan Charavg 25.3¢ | $251.72 | $993.57 | +$741.85 | 41% 739-1047 (1786) |
CA CandleHammerDrumsCTR | Gabriel Augusto Carvalhoavg 84.7¢ | $2.1K | — | $-2.1K | 48% 638-680 (1318) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR | Gabriel Augusto Carvalhoavg 56.6¢ | $250.41 | — | -$250.41 | 50% 2851-2894 (5745) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Gabriel Augusto Carvalhoavg 80.9¢ | $837 | — | -$689.46 | 48% 3968-4327 (8295) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105 | Ryan Charavg 99¢ | $99 | $100 | +$1 | 99% 664-9 (673) |
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR | Gabriel Augusto Carvalhoavg 64.9¢ | $109.67 | — | -$109.67 | 46% 479-565 (1044) |
US User7429CTR<$100 | Gabriel Augusto Carvalhoavg 59¢ | $37.22 | — | -$37.22 | 43% 435-567 (1002) |
NO NotJumpCTR | Gabriel Augusto Carvalhoavg 50¢ | $1.1K | — | -$0.05 | 50% 1136-1139 (2275) |
Invested
$251.72
Value
$993.57
PnL
+$741.85
Record
41%
739-1047 (1786)
Invested
$2,124.07
Value
—
PnL
$-2.1K
Record
48%
638-680 (1318)
Invested
$250.41
Value
—
PnL
-$250.41
Record
50%
2851-2894 (5745)
Invested
$837
Value
—
PnL
-$689.46
Record
48%
3968-4327 (8295)
Invested
$99
Value
$100
PnL
+$1
Record
99%
664-9 (673)
Invested
$109.67
Value
—
PnL
-$109.67
Record
46%
479-565 (1044)
Invested
$37.22
Value
—
PnL
-$37.22
Record
43%
435-567 (1002)
Invested
$1,050
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
50%
1136-1139 (2275)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
Ryan Char — $993.57
CandleHammerDrums
CTRGabriel Augusto Carvalho — $0
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
CTRGabriel Augusto Carvalho — $0
38791873984189
CTRGabriel Augusto Carvalho — $0
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105
Ryan Char — $100
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0
CTRGabriel Augusto Carvalho — $0
User7429
CTRGabriel Augusto Carvalho — $0
NotJump
CTRGabriel Augusto Carvalho — $0