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VeryLucky888Lani ChangLani ChangAmelie SmejkalovaAmelie Smejkalova
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Lani Chang
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Amelie Smejkalova — but Lani Chang won instead.
W15 Sumter, SC: Lani Chang vs Amelie Smejkalova
Resolved Lani Chang. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Amelie Smejkalova. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Amelie Smejkalova 50%
Total Value
$473.67
Combined PnL
-$87.98
Smart Money Signal
Amelie Smejkalova
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Lani Chang100%
Amelie Smejkalova0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Lani Chang3 traders
Total Value$473.67
Total Shares474
Combined PnL+$50.3
Amelie Smejkalova2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares470
Combined PnL-$138.27
Lani Chang — 60%Amelie Smejkalova — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VeryLucky888 | Lani Changavg 53¢ | $212 | $400 | +$40 | 58% 41507-30134 (71641) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Lani Changavg 73¢ | $55.96 | $73.67 | +$8.32 | 46% 7988-9443 (17431) |
OL olivereaCTR | Amelie Smejkalovaavg 46.9¢ | $137.16 | — | -$137.16 | 59% 312-216 (528) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Amelie Smejkalovaavg 10¢ | $1.12 | — | -$1.12 | 48% 765-826 (1591) |
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Lani Changavg 90¢ | $18 | — | +$1.98 | 86% 5097-864 (5961) |
VeryLucky888Invested
$212
Value
$400
PnL
+$40
Record
58%
41507-30134 (71641)
38
38791873984189<$100Invested
$55.96
Value
$73.67
PnL
+$8.32
Record
46%
7988-9443 (17431)
OL
olivereaCTRInvested
$137.16
Value
—
PnL
-$137.16
Record
59%
312-216 (528)
KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100Invested
$1.12
Value
—
PnL
-$1.12
Record
48%
765-826 (1591)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$18
Value
—
PnL
+$1.98
Record
86%
5097-864 (5961)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8eaf6bb6...5896ec
Slug
itf-chang7-smejka2-2026-10-30