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William ManningSimon CaldwellWilliam Manning
alpheclabs2CTR<$100Simon CaldwellWilliam Manning
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was William Manning — and it was correct. Winning outcome: William Manning
M25 Columbus, OH: Simon Caldwell vs William Manning
Resolved William Manning. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held William Manning. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
William Manning 60%
Total Value
$492.08
Combined PnL
$138.55
Smart Money Signal
William Manning
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Simon Caldwell0%
William Manning100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
William Manning3 traders
Total Value$492.08
Total Shares492
Combined PnL+$172.28
Simon Caldwell2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares310
Combined PnL-$33.73
William Manning — 60%Simon Caldwell — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189 | William Manningavg 68.5¢ | $385.51 | $475 | +$167.81 | 48% 1454-1600 (3054) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Simon Caldwellavg 11¢ | $30.51 | — | -$30.51 | 53% 1860-1677 (3537) |
GL glennyorkshire<$100 | William Manningavg 71¢ | $10 | $14.08 | +$4.08 | 49% 61-64 (125) |
alpheclabs2CTR<$100 | Simon Caldwellavg 10¢ | $3.22 | — | -$3.22 | 43% 126-165 (291) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | William Manningavg 87¢ | $2.61 | $3 | +$0.39 | 29% 180-434 (614) |
38
38791873984189Invested
$385.51
Value
$475
PnL
+$167.81
Record
48%
1454-1600 (3054)
KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100Invested
$30.51
Value
—
PnL
-$30.51
Record
53%
1860-1677 (3537)
GL
glennyorkshire<$100Invested
$10
Value
$14.08
PnL
+$4.08
Record
49%
61-64 (125)
alpheclabs2CTR<$100Invested
$3.22
Value
—
PnL
-$3.22
Record
43%
126-165 (291)
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100Invested
$2.61
Value
$3
PnL
+$0.39
Record
29%
180-434 (614)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x38cd04c1...952ce6
Slug
itf-caldwe1-mannin1-2026-11-11