Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Breno Braga — but Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna won instead.

M25 Santa Cruz do Sul: Breno Braga vs Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna

Resolved Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Breno Braga. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Breno Braga 83%

Total Value

$25.22

Combined PnL

-$22

Breno Braga

6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Breno Braga0%

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna100%

Breno Braga6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares845

Combined PnL-$23.13

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna1 trader

Total Value$25.22

Total Shares25

Combined PnL+$1.13

Breno Braga — 86%Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna — 14%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SM smithagentCTR<$100	Breno Bragaavg 2.3¢	$11	—	-$11	43% 348-470 (818)
PA Pan9X<$100	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Tavernaavg 95.5¢	$24.09	$25.22	+$1.13	49% 1077-1133 (2210)
dips.CTR<$100	Breno Bragaavg 2¢	$2.58	—	-$2.58	45% 537-651 (1188)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Breno Bragaavg 6.6¢	$6.54	—	-$6.54	48% 2223-2408 (4631)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	Breno Bragaavg 1.2¢	$1.08	—	-$1.08	53% 6191-5476 (11667)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100	Breno Bragaavg 2.2¢	$1.87	—	-$1.87	51% 2075-1993 (4068)
NO NotJumpCTR	Breno Bragaavg 50¢	$1.1K	—	-$0.05	54% 455-382 (837)