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Karla BartelMaria KononovaMaria KononovaMaria KononovaMaria KononovaMaria Kononova
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Karla Bartel — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Karla Bartel
W15 Lincoln, NE: Karla Bartel vs Maria Kononova
Resolved Karla Bartel. 17% of the top Polymarket traders held Karla Bartel. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Karla Bartel 20%
Total Value
$244.06
Combined PnL
-$57.65
Smart Money Signal
Karla Bartel
1 of 6 top traders (17%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Karla Bartel100%
Maria Kononova0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Karla Bartel1 trader
Total Value$244
Total Shares244
Combined PnL+$2.44
Maria Kononova5 traders
Total Value$0.06
Total Shares410
Combined PnL-$60.09
Karla Bartel — 17%Maria Kononova — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105 | Karla Bartelavg 99¢ | $241.56 | $244 | +$2.44 | 98% 272-5 (277) |
NO NotJumpCTR | Maria Kononovaavg 50¢ | $1.1K | $0.05 | +$0 | 54% 506-431 (937) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Maria Kononovaavg 1.7¢ | $29.66 | $0.01 | -$1.45 | 43% 391-518 (909) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Maria Kononovaavg 37.3¢ | $35.81 | — | -$35.81 | 48% 2320-2524 (4844) |
CA CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100 | Maria Kononovaavg 27.1¢ | $8.4 | — | -$8.4 | 48% 365-390 (755) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Maria Kononovaavg 40¢ | $14.42 | — | -$14.42 | 36% 558-990 (1548) |
0X
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105Invested
$241.56
Value
$244
PnL
+$2.44
Record
98%
272-5 (277)
NO
NotJumpCTRInvested
$1,050
Value
$0.05
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
506-431 (937)
SM
smithagentCTR<$100Invested
$29.66
Value
$0.01
PnL
-$1.45
Record
43%
391-518 (909)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$35.81
Value
—
PnL
-$35.81
Record
48%
2320-2524 (4844)
CA
CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100Invested
$8.4
Value
—
PnL
-$8.4
Record
48%
365-390 (755)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$14.42
Value
—
PnL
-$14.42
Record
36%
558-990 (1548)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd8824570...80881d
Slug
itf-bartel1-konono1-2026-11-12