Back to Markets
Naiktha BainsAshleigh SimesAshleigh SimesAshleigh SimesAshleigh Simes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Ashleigh Simes — but Naiktha Bains won instead.
W75 Sydney: Naiktha Bains vs Ashleigh Simes
Resolved Naiktha Bains. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Ashleigh Simes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Ashleigh Simes 80%
Total Value
$5
Combined PnL
-$7.44
Smart Money Signal
Ashleigh Simes
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Naiktha Bains100%
Ashleigh Simes0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Naiktha Bains1 trader
Total Value$5
Total Shares5
Combined PnL+$0.65
Ashleigh Simes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares275
Combined PnL-$8.09
Naiktha Bains — 20%Ashleigh Simes — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Naiktha Bainsavg 87¢ | $4.35 | $5 | +$0.65 | 40% 652-976 (1628) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Ashleigh Simesavg 5.9¢ | $2.05 | — | -$2.05 | 47% 3580-3963 (7543) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Ashleigh Simesavg 5¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 46% 809-954 (1763) |
CA CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100 | Ashleigh Simesavg 1.8¢ | $2.09 | — | -$2.09 | 49% 573-601 (1174) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Ashleigh Simesavg 2.6¢ | $2.45 | — | -$2.45 | 38% 1351-2180 (3531) |
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100Invested
$4.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.65
Record
40%
652-976 (1628)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$2.05
Value
—
PnL
-$2.05
Record
47%
3580-3963 (7543)
SM
smithagentCTR<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
46%
809-954 (1763)
CA
CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100Invested
$2.09
Value
—
PnL
-$2.09
Record
49%
573-601 (1174)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$2.45
Value
—
PnL
-$2.45
Record
38%
1351-2180 (3531)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x4cd32090...9b4fad
Slug
itf-bains1-simes1-2026-11-14