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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Pierre Yves Bailly — but Filiberto Fumagalli won instead.
M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Pierre Yves Bailly vs Filiberto Fumagalli
Resolved Filiberto Fumagalli. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Pierre Yves Bailly. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Pierre Yves Bailly 80%
Total Value
$83.7
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Pierre Yves Bailly
4 of 5 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Pierre Yves Bailly0%
Filiberto Fumagalli100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x22c6f9a2...c1ec77
Slug
itf-bailly1-fumaga2-2026-11-13