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Andreea PrisacariuStefanie AuerStefanie AuerStefanie AuerStefanie Auer
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Stefanie Auer — but Andreea Prisacariu won instead.
W15 Antalya: Stefanie Auer vs Andreea Prisacariu
Resolved Andreea Prisacariu. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Stefanie Auer. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Stefanie Auer 80%
Total Value
$27.67
Combined PnL
-$18.16
Smart Money Signal
Stefanie Auer
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Stefanie Auer0%
Andreea Prisacariu100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Andreea Prisacariu1 trader
Total Value$27.67
Total Shares28
Combined PnL+$0.25
Stefanie Auer4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares321
Combined PnL-$18.41
Andreea Prisacariu — 20%Stefanie Auer — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MA MarquisDeMott<$100 | Andreea Prisacariuavg 99.1¢ | $27.42 | $27.67 | +$0.25 | 94% 77-5 (82) |
CA CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100 | Stefanie Aueravg 2.7¢ | $4.34 | — | -$4.34 | 47% 325-361 (686) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Stefanie Aueravg 9.1¢ | $5.84 | — | -$5.84 | 48% 2064-2270 (4334) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Stefanie Aueravg 9.3¢ | $4.63 | — | -$4.63 | 37% 524-893 (1417) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Stefanie Aueravg 8¢ | $3.6 | — | -$3.6 | 42% 332-452 (784) |
MA
MarquisDeMott<$100Invested
$27.42
Value
$27.67
PnL
+$0.25
Record
94%
77-5 (82)
CA
CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100Invested
$4.34
Value
—
PnL
-$4.34
Record
47%
325-361 (686)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$5.84
Value
—
PnL
-$5.84
Record
48%
2064-2270 (4334)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$4.63
Value
—
PnL
-$4.63
Record
37%
524-893 (1417)
SM
smithagentCTR<$100Invested
$3.6
Value
—
PnL
-$3.6
Record
42%
332-452 (784)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xfdba8466...1ceb43
Slug
itf-auer1-prisac1-2026-11-12