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Aidan MchughJack AnthropJack AnthropAidan MchughAidan Mchugh
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Aidan Mchugh — but Jack Anthrop won instead.
M25 Columbus, OH: Jack Anthrop vs Aidan Mchugh
Resolved Jack Anthrop. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Aidan Mchugh. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Aidan Mchugh 60%
Total Value
$127.14
Combined PnL
-$152.08
Smart Money Signal
Aidan Mchugh
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Jack Anthrop100%
Aidan Mchugh0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Aidan Mchugh3 traders
Total Value$70.75
Total Shares591
Combined PnL-$175.85
Jack Anthrop2 traders
Total Value$56.39
Total Shares56
Combined PnL+$23.77
Aidan Mchugh — 60%Jack Anthrop — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189CTR | Aidan Mchughavg 38.4¢ | $225.8 | $70.75 | -$152.5 | 48% 1427-1570 (2997) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Jack Anthropavg 56¢ | $22.95 | $40 | +$17.05 | 29% 176-430 (606) |
GL glennyorkshire<$100 | Jack Anthropavg 59¢ | $9.67 | $16.39 | +$6.72 | 49% 57-60 (117) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Aidan Mchughavg 15.8¢ | $8.41 | — | -$8.41 | 53% 1851-1666 (3517) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Aidan Mchughavg 24¢ | $14.94 | — | -$14.94 | 53% 5815-5180 (10995) |
38
38791873984189CTRInvested
$225.8
Value
$70.75
PnL
-$152.5
Record
48%
1427-1570 (2997)
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100Invested
$22.95
Value
$40
PnL
+$17.05
Record
29%
176-430 (606)
GL
glennyorkshire<$100Invested
$9.67
Value
$16.39
PnL
+$6.72
Record
49%
57-60 (117)
KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100Invested
$8.41
Value
—
PnL
-$8.41
Record
53%
1851-1666 (3517)
CI
cigarettesCTR<$100Invested
$14.94
Value
—
PnL
-$14.94
Record
53%
5815-5180 (10995)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc641e13b...aa1594
Slug
itf-anthro1-mchugh1-2026-11-11