Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior — but Valerio Aboian won instead.
M25 Santa Cruz do Sul: Valerio Aboian vs Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior
Resolved Valerio Aboian. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior. The smart money was wrong.
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Lost
7
Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior 100%
$0
-$23.78
Smart Money Signal
7 of 7 top traders (100%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 alpheclabs2CTR<$100 | Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junioravg 2¢ | $11.18 | — | -$11.18 | 45% 192-232 (424) |
 poshposhCTR<$100 | Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junioravg 2¢ | $7.67 | — | -$7.67 | 47% 522-581 (1103) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junioravg 1.2¢ | $3.01 | — | -$3.01 | 53% 6091-5453 (11544) |
NO NotJumpCTR | Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junioravg 50¢ | $1.1K | — | -$0.05 | 54% 439-373 (812) |
 dips.CTR<$100 | Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junioravg 4.9¢ | $1.31 | — | -$1.31 | 45% 530-649 (1179) |
CA CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100 | Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junioravg 6.5¢ | $0.52 | — | -$0.52 | 48% 335-369 (704) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Glauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junioravg 4.9¢ | $0.03 | — | -$0.03 | 33% 302-622 (924) |
alpheclabs2CTR<$100Invested
$11.18
Value
—
PnL
-$11.18
Record
45%
192-232 (424)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$7.67
Value
—
PnL
-$7.67
Record
47%
522-581 (1103)
Invested
$3.01
Value
—
PnL
-$3.01
Record
53%
6091-5453 (11544)
Invested
$1,050
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
54%
439-373 (812)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$1.31
Value
—
PnL
-$1.31
Record
45%
530-649 (1179)
Invested
$0.52
Value
—
PnL
-$0.52
Record
48%
335-369 (704)
Invested
$0.03
Value
—
PnL
-$0.03
Record
33%
302-622 (924)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
alpheclabs2
CTRGlauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior — $0
poshposh
CTRGlauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior — $0
cigarettes
CTRGlauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior — $0
NotJump
CTRGlauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior — $0
dips.
CTRGlauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior — $0
CandleHammerDrums
CTRGlauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior — $0
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
CTRGlauco Pinheiro da Cruz Junior — $0