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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 14?
Resolved Yes. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
No 80%
Total Value
$50
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 6 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbf9567d3...d0ee0e
Slug
israel-military-action-against-lebanon-on-november-14