Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.
Beitar Jerusalem FC vs. Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona FC: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
Under 63%
$56.5
-$82.09
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Overavg 14Β’ | $6.95 | $40 | +$33.05 | 59% 45969-32302 (78271) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Underavg 50.1Β’ | $76.86 | $10 | -$66.86 | 49% 8081-8480 (16561) |
SY Syrrok<$100 | Overavg 49Β’ | $2.45 | $5 | +$2.55 | 61% 1808-1158 (2966) |
![]() HRTrading<$100 | Overavg 86Β’ | $1.29 | $1.5 | +$0.21 | 53% 4792-4312 (9104) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 37.2Β’ | $21.19 | β | -$21.19 | 50% 25208-24935 (50143) |
![]() poshposhCTR<$100 | Underavg 52.7Β’ | $13.3 | β | -$13.3 | 59% 10257-7240 (17497) |
0X 0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191CTR<$100 | Underavg 51Β’ | $2.55 | β | -$2.55 | 47% 4586-5092 (9678) |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Underavg 14Β’ | $14 | β | -$14 | 58% 42027-30514 (72541) |
Invested
$6.95
Value
$40
PnL
+$33.05
Record
59%
45969-32302 (78271)
Invested
$76.86
Value
$10
PnL
-$66.86
Record
49%
8081-8480 (16561)
Invested
$2.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.55
Record
61%
1808-1158 (2966)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$1.29
Value
$1.5
PnL
+$0.21
Record
53%
4792-4312 (9104)
Invested
$21.19
Value
β
PnL
-$21.19
Record
50%
25208-24935 (50143)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$13.3
Value
β
PnL
-$13.3
Record
59%
10257-7240 (17497)
Invested
$2.55
Value
β
PnL
-$2.55
Record
47%
4586-5092 (9678)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$14
Value
β
PnL
-$14
Record
58%
42027-30514 (72541)
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