Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Yes β but No won instead.
Will Shelbourne FC win on 2026-10-30?
Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
Yes 67%
$1.25
-$16.78
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() HRTrading<$100 | Noavg 84Β’ | $1.05 | $1.25 | +$0.2 | 53% 4191-3790 (7981) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Yesavg 46Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 59% 45474-31848 (77322) |
![]() RN1CTR<$100 | Yesavg 16Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 54% 56399-48569 (104968) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Noavg 51Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 49% 19066-19466 (38532) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Yesavg 48.6Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 24930-24652 (49582) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16Β’ | $13.28 | β | -$13.28 | 49% 12528-12922 (25450) |
BE BetzikoCTR<$100 | Yesavg 68Β’ | $3.4 | β | -$3.4 | 54% 6216-5267 (11483) |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Yesavg 48.5Β’ | $9.7 | β | -$0.3 | 58% 41637-30243 (71880) |
HRTrading<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
$1.25
PnL
+$0.2
Record
53%
4191-3790 (7981)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45474-31848 (77322)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56399-48569 (104968)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
19066-19466 (38532)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24930-24652 (49582)
Invested
$13.28
Value
β
PnL
-$13.28
Record
49%
12528-12922 (25450)
Invested
$3.4
Value
β
PnL
-$3.4
Record
54%
6216-5267 (11483)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$9.7
Value
β
PnL
-$0.3
Record
58%
41637-30243 (71880)
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