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YesNoNo
RN1<$100NoYesNo
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Yes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Dundalk FC vs. Shamrock Rovers end in a draw?
Resolved No. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 67%
Total Value
$5
Combined PnL
-$17.07
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares145
Combined PnL-$18.27
No4 traders
Total Value$5
Total Shares5
Combined PnL+$1.2
Yes — 43%No — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6¢ | $13.57 | — | -$13.57 | 49% 12528-12922 (25450) |
BE Betziko<$100 | Noavg 76¢ | $3.8 | $5 | +$1.2 | 54% 6216-5267 (11483) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Noavg 80.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45474-31848 (77322) |
RN1<$100 | Noavg 80¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56399-48569 (104968) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Yesavg 22¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 33256-32807 (66063) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 80¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 24930-24652 (49582) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Yesavg 23.5¢ | $4.7 | — | -$4.7 | 58% 41637-30243 (71880) |
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$13.57
Value
—
PnL
-$13.57
Record
49%
12528-12922 (25450)
BE
Betziko<$100Invested
$3.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.2
Record
54%
6216-5267 (11483)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45474-31848 (77322)
RN1<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56399-48569 (104968)
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
33256-32807 (66063)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24930-24652 (49582)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$4.7
Value
—
PnL
-$4.7
Record
58%
41637-30243 (71880)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa6b089e3...cbefc4
Slug
irl1-dun-sha-2026-10-30-draw