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Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Jan 1, 2028
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes28%
No73%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance28.5%
27.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + no taker fee. Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$250.88
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
350.9
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x1f4a556c...d6b14f
Slug
iran-coup-attempt-by-december-31-2027