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Under
HRTradingCTR<$100UnderUnder
RN1<$100OverOverUnder Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

Arema FC vs. Bali United: O/U 3.5
Resolved Over. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Under 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$329.63
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares460
Combined PnL-$329.63
Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Under β 67%Over β 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SA Saber-greedCTR | Underavg 73Β’ | $319.73 | β | -$319.73 | 59% 2554-1782 (4336) |
![]() HRTradingCTR<$100 | Underavg 44Β’ | $9.9 | β | -$9.9 | 53% 4616-4152 (8768) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Underavg 44Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 59% 45810-32163 (77973) |
![]() RN1<$100 | Overavg 27Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 54% 56596-48765 (105361) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Overavg 54Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 33395-32964 (66359) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 56.4Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 25095-24835 (49930) |
SA
Saber-greedCTRInvested
$319.73
Value
β
PnL
-$319.73
Record
59%
2554-1782 (4336)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$9.9
Value
β
PnL
-$9.9
Record
53%
4616-4152 (8768)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45810-32163 (77973)
RN1<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56596-48765 (105361)
SN
SnakeBall<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
33395-32964 (66359)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
25095-24835 (49930)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4d6420e8...dbc85c
Slug
idn1-are-bau-2026-10-31-total-3pt5