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HRTradingCTR<$100Arema FC
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Arema FCBali UnitedBali UnitedBali United
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Arema FC — but Bali United won instead.
Spread: Bali United (-1.5)
Resolved Bali United. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Arema FC. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Arema FC 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$10.28
Smart Money Signal
Arema FC
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Bali United100%
Arema FC0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Arema FC2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares50
Combined PnL-$10.28
Bali United3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Arema FC — 40%Bali United — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Arema FCavg 20.8¢ | $10.44 | — | -$10.44 | 53% 4616-4152 (8768) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Arema FCavg 72¢ | $13.22 | — | +$0.16 | 58% 41902-30424 (72326) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Bali Unitedavg 73.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45810-32163 (77973) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Bali Unitedavg 67¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 25095-24835 (49930) |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Bali Unitedavg 24¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 28689-21179 (49868) |
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$10.44
Value
—
PnL
-$10.44
Record
53%
4616-4152 (8768)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$13.22
Value
—
PnL
+$0.16
Record
58%
41902-30424 (72326)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45810-32163 (77973)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
25095-24835 (49930)
LE
LeLynxMalynx<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
28689-21179 (49868)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x02b8cb89...c68885
Slug
idn1-are-bau-2026-10-31-spread-away-1pt5