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Down
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100UpUp
ohioismCTR<$100UpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 83%
Total Value
$40
Combined PnL
$2.55
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down1 trader
Total Value$40
Total Shares40
Combined PnL+$15.25
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares52
Combined PnL-$12.7
Down — 17%Up — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 57.5¢ | $24.75 | $40 | +$15.25 | 50% 2231-2229 (4460) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 14.6¢ | $3.49 | — | -$3.49 | 49% 1497-1559 (3056) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 22.4¢ | $1.86 | — | -$1.86 | 46% 2702-3200 (5902) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 47% 2042-2277 (4319) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $4.5 | — | -$4.5 | 47% 2135-2370 (4505) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 47% 2092-2317 (4409) |
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$24.75
Value
$40
PnL
+$15.25
Record
50%
2231-2229 (4460)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$3.49
Value
—
PnL
-$3.49
Record
49%
1497-1559 (3056)
SU
suntoriCTR<$100Invested
$1.86
Value
—
PnL
-$1.86
Record
46%
2702-3200 (5902)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
47%
2042-2277 (4319)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$4.5
Value
—
PnL
-$4.5
Record
47%
2135-2370 (4505)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
47%
2092-2317 (4409)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe39da3fe...8ea2b3
Slug
hype-updown-5m-1794679800