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cryingbabydicer87<$100UpUp
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100DownDown
ohioismCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$54
Combined PnL
$6.66
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$54
Total Shares54
Combined PnL+$11.92
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares36
Combined PnL-$5.26
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 77.7¢ | $38.08 | $49 | +$10.92 | 48% 1198-1305 (2503) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $4 | $5 | +$1 | 51% 2495-2439 (4934) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 44% 1668-2150 (3818) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 20.5¢ | $2.87 | — | -$2.87 | 47% 1726-1951 (3677) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $1.19 | — | -$1.19 | 48% 1683-1811 (3494) |
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$38.08
Value
$49
PnL
+$10.92
Record
48%
1198-1305 (2503)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$4
Value
$5
PnL
+$1
Record
51%
2495-2439 (4934)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
44%
1668-2150 (3818)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$2.87
Value
—
PnL
-$2.87
Record
47%
1726-1951 (3677)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.19
Value
—
PnL
-$1.19
Record
48%
1683-1811 (3494)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf19ebec6...1c7e34
Slug
hype-updown-5m-1794591600