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DownUp
ohioismCTR<$100UpUp
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100UpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 80%
Total Value
$30.96
Combined PnL
-$29.36
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$30.96
Total Shares31
Combined PnL-$10.96
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares55
Combined PnL-$18.4
Down — 33%Up — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $40.03 | $30 | -$10.03 | 49% 3600-3701 (7301) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $7.2 | — | -$7.2 | 49% 2456-2514 (4970) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $5.7 | — | -$5.7 | 48% 2407-2652 (5059) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 29¢ | $4.35 | — | -$4.35 | 48% 2509-2762 (5271) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 23¢ | $1.15 | — | -$1.15 | 49% 1730-1766 (3496) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $11.9 | $0.96 | -$0.93 | 60% 4192-2848 (7040) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$40.03
Value
$30
PnL
-$10.03
Record
49%
3600-3701 (7301)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$7.2
Value
—
PnL
-$7.2
Record
49%
2456-2514 (4970)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$5.7
Value
—
PnL
-$5.7
Record
48%
2407-2652 (5059)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$4.35
Value
—
PnL
-$4.35
Record
48%
2509-2762 (5271)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.15
Value
—
PnL
-$1.15
Record
49%
1730-1766 (3496)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$11.9
Value
$0.96
PnL
-$0.93
Record
60%
4192-2848 (7040)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x90c0612b...9670fb
Slug
hype-updown-15m-1794754800