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UpUp
BoneOhio<$100DownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$20
Combined PnL
-$49.18
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares148
Combined PnL-$52.53
Down2 traders
Total Value$20
Total Shares20
Combined PnL+$3.35
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 22.9¢ | $45.33 | — | -$45.33 | 50% 3495-3507 (7002) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 28.3¢ | $5.65 | — | -$5.65 | 48% 2415-2654 (5069) |
BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $13.65 | $15 | +$1.35 | 70% 1755-745 (2500) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 60¢ | $3 | $5 | +$2 | 60% 4054-2741 (6795) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 31¢ | $1.55 | — | -$1.55 | 48% 2400-2586 (4986) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$45.33
Value
—
PnL
-$45.33
Record
50%
3495-3507 (7002)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$5.65
Value
—
PnL
-$5.65
Record
48%
2415-2654 (5069)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$13.65
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.35
Record
70%
1755-745 (2500)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$3
Value
$5
PnL
+$2
Record
60%
4054-2741 (6795)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$1.55
Value
—
PnL
-$1.55
Record
48%
2400-2586 (4986)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x23cd8df9...08333f
Slug
hype-updown-15m-1794734100