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DownUpDownDown
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$12.51
Combined PnL
-$28.98
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares89
Combined PnL-$31.04
Up1 trader
Total Value$12.51
Total Shares13
Combined PnL+$2.06
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 31.5¢ | $22.19 | — | -$20.87 | 59% 3865-2632 (6497) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 56.7¢ | $10.45 | $12.51 | +$2.06 | 51% 3321-3240 (6561) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $7.8 | — | -$7.8 | 49% 2374-2443 (4817) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 11¢ | $1.32 | — | -$1.32 | 47% 2283-2545 (4828) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 10.5¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 50% 1618-1648 (3266) |
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$22.19
Value
—
PnL
-$20.87
Record
59%
3865-2632 (6497)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$10.45
Value
$12.51
PnL
+$2.06
Record
51%
3321-3240 (6561)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$7.8
Value
—
PnL
-$7.8
Record
49%
2374-2443 (4817)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$1.32
Value
—
PnL
-$1.32
Record
47%
2283-2545 (4828)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
50%
1618-1648 (3266)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xad8bc089...71085d
Slug
hype-updown-15m-1794707100