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DownDownUpUp
ohioismCTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$50.02
Combined PnL
$3.08
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$50.02
Total Shares50
Combined PnL+$14.38
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares36
Combined PnL-$11.3
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $22.64 | $30.02 | +$7.38 | 51% 3248-3166 (6414) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $13 | $20 | +$7 | 49% 2317-2371 (4688) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 29¢ | $4.35 | — | -$4.35 | 47% 2230-2478 (4708) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 28.5¢ | $5.5 | — | -$5.5 | 59% 3783-2578 (6361) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 29¢ | $1.45 | — | -$1.45 | 47% 2139-2368 (4507) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$22.64
Value
$30.02
PnL
+$7.38
Record
51%
3248-3166 (6414)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$13
Value
$20
PnL
+$7
Record
49%
2317-2371 (4688)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$4.35
Value
—
PnL
-$4.35
Record
47%
2230-2478 (4708)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$5.5
Value
—
PnL
-$5.5
Record
59%
3783-2578 (6361)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.45
Value
—
PnL
-$1.45
Record
47%
2139-2368 (4507)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6e1da862...58c090
Slug
hype-updown-15m-1794701700