Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Up β but Down won instead.

Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
6
Up 67%
$136.94
$4.58
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 62.7Β’ | $87.76 | $104.35 | +$16.59 | 51% 3203-3131 (6334) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 25.7Β’ | $15.98 | β | -$15.98 | 49% 1545-1582 (3127) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 69.4Β’ | $22.62 | $32.59 | +$9.97 | 59% 3720-2542 (6262) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 14Β’ | $2.1 | β | -$2.1 | 47% 2089-2333 (4422) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 13Β’ | $1.95 | β | -$1.95 | 47% 2188-2425 (4613) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 13Β’ | $1.95 | β | -$1.95 | 48% 2150-2369 (4519) |
Invested
$87.76
Value
$104.35
PnL
+$16.59
Record
51%
3203-3131 (6334)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$15.98
Value
β
PnL
-$15.98
Record
49%
1545-1582 (3127)
Invested
$22.62
Value
$32.59
PnL
+$9.97
Record
59%
3720-2542 (6262)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
β
PnL
-$2.1
Record
47%
2089-2333 (4422)
Invested
$1.95
Value
β
PnL
-$1.95
Record
47%
2188-2425 (4613)
Invested
$1.95
Value
β
PnL
-$1.95
Record
48%
2150-2369 (4519)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $104.35

cryingbabydicer87
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
Down β $32.59

ohioism
CTRUp β $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp β $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp β $0