Back to Markets
UpDown
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100DownDown
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 83%
Total Value
$105
Combined PnL
-$88.96
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$105
Total Shares105
Combined PnL-$11.13
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares272
Combined PnL-$77.83
Up — 17%Down — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 90.1¢ | $116.13 | $105 | -$11.13 | 51% 3203-3131 (6334) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 82.7¢ | $54.29 | — | -$50.26 | 59% 3720-2542 (6262) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 20.1¢ | $6.84 | — | -$6.84 | 49% 1545-1582 (3127) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $2.5 | — | -$2.5 | 48% 1266-1353 (2619) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 9.3¢ | $14.11 | — | -$14.11 | 44% 2099-2693 (4792) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 8.7¢ | $4.12 | — | -$4.12 | 48% 2150-2369 (4519) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609Invested
$116.13
Value
$105
PnL
-$11.13
Record
51%
3203-3131 (6334)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$54.29
Value
—
PnL
-$50.26
Record
59%
3720-2542 (6262)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$6.84
Value
—
PnL
-$6.84
Record
49%
1545-1582 (3127)
PB
PBot-5CTR<$100Invested
$2.5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.5
Record
48%
1266-1353 (2619)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$14.11
Value
—
PnL
-$14.11
Record
44%
2099-2693 (4792)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$4.12
Value
—
PnL
-$4.12
Record
48%
2150-2369 (4519)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xf152162f...1439f0
Slug
hype-updown-15m-1794690900