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Up
cryingbabydicer87<$100DownUp
ohioismCTR<$100Up
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100UpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 83%
Total Value
$21.59
Combined PnL
-$19.14
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares88
Combined PnL-$21.92
Down1 trader
Total Value$21.59
Total Shares22
Combined PnL+$2.78
Up — 83%Down — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 37.8¢ | $19.97 | — | -$18.54 | 59% 3675-2516 (6191) |
cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 77.3¢ | $18.81 | $21.59 | +$2.78 | 49% 1520-1565 (3085) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $0.8 | — | -$0.8 | 48% 2157-2382 (4539) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $1.17 | — | -$1.17 | 47% 2060-2289 (4349) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 44% 2059-2654 (4713) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $0.21 | — | -$0.21 | 50% 2249-2257 (4506) |
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$19.97
Value
—
PnL
-$18.54
Record
59%
3675-2516 (6191)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$18.81
Value
$21.59
PnL
+$2.78
Record
49%
1520-1565 (3085)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$0.8
Value
—
PnL
-$0.8
Record
48%
2157-2382 (4539)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.17
Value
—
PnL
-$1.17
Record
47%
2060-2289 (4349)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
44%
2059-2654 (4713)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$0.21
Value
—
PnL
-$0.21
Record
50%
2249-2257 (4506)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x95cf52d4...a3c9b3
Slug
hype-updown-15m-1794684600