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Down
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Down
ohioismCTR<$100DownUp
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$61.07
Combined PnL
-$12.98
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares53
Combined PnL-$23.57
Up1 trader
Total Value$12.73
Total Shares13
Combined PnL+$10.59
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 79.8¢ | $83.07 | $48.34 | -$34.74 | 51% 3138-3071 (6209) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 79.8¢ | $51.95 | — | -$51.95 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 64.4¢ | $31.12 | $48.34 | +$17.22 | |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 54.8¢ | $15.83 | — | -$15.83 | 49% 1520-1565 (3085) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $4.65 | — | -$4.65 | 47% 2060-2289 (4349) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $13.88 | $12.73 | +$10.59 | 59% 3675-2516 (6191) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $1.77 | — | -$1.77 | 44% 2059-2654 (4713) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 21¢ | $1.33 | — | -$1.33 | 48% 2157-2382 (4539) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100Invested
$83.07
Value
$48.34
PnL
-$34.74
Record
51%
3138-3071 (6209)
Both legs:
Down$51.9579.8¢-$51.95
Up$31.1264.4¢+$17.22
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$15.83
Value
—
PnL
-$15.83
Record
49%
1520-1565 (3085)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$4.65
Value
—
PnL
-$4.65
Record
47%
2060-2289 (4349)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$13.88
Value
$12.73
PnL
+$10.59
Record
59%
3675-2516 (6191)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.77
Value
—
PnL
-$1.77
Record
44%
2059-2654 (4713)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$1.33
Value
—
PnL
-$1.33
Record
48%
2157-2382 (4539)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc625eee4...5852f3
Slug
hype-updown-15m-1794683700