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UpDownUpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$161.92
Combined PnL
-$28.61
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$161.92
Total Shares162
Combined PnL-$13.11
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares70
Combined PnL-$15.5
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 63.9¢ | $170.55 | $145.71 | -$24.84 | 50% 3041-2991 (6032) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $11.6 | — | -$11.6 | 50% 2196-2203 (4399) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 24¢ | $4.49 | $16.21 | +$11.72 | 59% 3587-2446 (6033) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $1.95 | — | -$1.95 | 47% 2083-2336 (4419) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $1.95 | — | -$1.95 | 47% 2043-2283 (4326) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609Invested
$170.55
Value
$145.71
PnL
-$24.84
Record
50%
3041-2991 (6032)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$11.6
Value
—
PnL
-$11.6
Record
50%
2196-2203 (4399)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$4.49
Value
$16.21
PnL
+$11.72
Record
59%
3587-2446 (6033)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$1.95
Value
—
PnL
-$1.95
Record
47%
2083-2336 (4419)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$1.95
Value
—
PnL
-$1.95
Record
47%
2043-2283 (4326)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x54e0bb87...6f699d
Slug
hype-updown-15m-1794674700