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Down
ohioism<$100Down
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Up
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100UpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$98.85
Combined PnL
-$23.66
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$98.85
Total Shares99
Combined PnL-$0.16
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares48
Combined PnL-$23.5
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 77.9¢ | $94.81 | $83.85 | -$10.96 | 50% 3000-2949 (5949) |
ohioism<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $4.2 | $15 | +$10.8 | 47% 1969-2182 (4151) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $4.5 | — | -$4.5 | 44% 1957-2530 (4487) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $0.7 | — | -$0.7 | 48% 1402-1515 (2917) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $20.45 | — | -$18.3 | 60% 3539-2389 (5928) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$94.81
Value
$83.85
PnL
-$10.96
Record
50%
3000-2949 (5949)
ohioism<$100Invested
$4.2
Value
$15
PnL
+$10.8
Record
47%
1969-2182 (4151)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$4.5
Value
—
PnL
-$4.5
Record
44%
1957-2530 (4487)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$0.7
Value
—
PnL
-$0.7
Record
48%
1402-1515 (2917)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$20.45
Value
—
PnL
-$18.3
Record
60%
3539-2389 (5928)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4e3d3e82...e09678
Slug
hype-updown-15m-1794665700