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Up
BoneOhio<$100DownDownUpDown
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
Total Value
$50.3
Combined PnL
-$1.43
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares57
Combined PnL-$24.11
Down3 traders
Total Value$50.3
Total Shares50
Combined PnL+$22.68
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 41.6¢ | $17.31 | — | -$17.31 | 50% 2078-2073 (4151) |
BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $12.5 | $25 | +$12.5 | 71% 1465-598 (2063) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 66.3¢ | $10.8 | $16.3 | +$5.5 | 51% 2945-2881 (5826) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 47% 1950-2185 (4135) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $4.32 | $9.01 | +$4.68 | 60% 3476-2322 (5798) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 48% 1378-1482 (2860) |
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$17.31
Value
—
PnL
-$17.31
Record
50%
2078-2073 (4151)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$12.5
Value
$25
PnL
+$12.5
Record
71%
1465-598 (2063)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$10.8
Value
$16.3
PnL
+$5.5
Record
51%
2945-2881 (5826)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
47%
1950-2185 (4135)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$4.32
Value
$9.01
PnL
+$4.68
Record
60%
3476-2322 (5798)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
48%
1378-1482 (2860)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x808b7231...0dafe3
Slug
hype-updown-15m-1794655800