Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
6
Up 67%
$22.18
-$54.16
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 35.1¢ | $41.43 | — | -$41.43 | 50% 1977-1974 (3951) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 42.7¢ | $6.4 | $15 | +$8.6 | 48% 1361-1500 (2861) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 46.2¢ | $4.62 | — | -$4.62 | 46% 1350-1577 (2927) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 75.6¢ | $30.38 | $7.18 | -$8.46 | 60% 2531-1695 (4226) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 25.3¢ | $5.05 | — | -$5.05 | 44% 1371-1749 (3120) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $3.2 | — | -$3.2 | 47% 1411-1608 (3019) |
Invested
$41.43
Value
—
PnL
-$41.43
Record
50%
1977-1974 (3951)
ohioism<$100Invested
$6.4
Value
$15
PnL
+$8.6
Record
48%
1361-1500 (2861)
Invested
$4.62
Value
—
PnL
-$4.62
Record
46%
1350-1577 (2927)
Invested
$30.38
Value
$7.18
PnL
-$8.46
Record
60%
2531-1695 (4226)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$5.05
Value
—
PnL
-$5.05
Record
44%
1371-1749 (3120)
Invested
$3.2
Value
—
PnL
-$3.2
Record
47%
1411-1608 (3019)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp — $0
ohioism
Down — $15
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
Down — $7.18
G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp — $0