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BoneOhioDownDownUp
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Up
ohioismCTR<$100UpUp Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Up β but Down won instead.

Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
Total Value
$120.5
Combined PnL
-$23.71
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$120.5
Total Shares121
Combined PnL-$5.87
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares59
Combined PnL-$17.84
Down β 33%Up β 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() BoneOhio | Downavg 99Β’ | $99 | $100 | +$1 | 74% 910-315 (1225) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 82.3Β’ | $27.37 | $20.5 | -$6.87 | 51% 1610-1559 (3169) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 35Β’ | $7 | β | -$7 | 50% 1033-1042 (2075) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 25.9Β’ | $7.44 | β | -$7.44 | 47% 771-864 (1635) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 40Β’ | $2 | β | -$2 | 48% 1128-1223 (2351) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 28Β’ | $1.4 | β | -$1.4 | 47% 1159-1332 (2491) |
BoneOhioInvested
$99
Value
$100
PnL
+$1
Record
74%
910-315 (1225)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$27.37
Value
$20.5
PnL
-$6.87
Record
51%
1610-1559 (3169)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$7
Value
β
PnL
-$7
Record
50%
1033-1042 (2075)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$7.44
Value
β
PnL
-$7.44
Record
47%
771-864 (1635)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2
Value
β
PnL
-$2
Record
48%
1128-1223 (2351)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
β
PnL
-$1.4
Record
47%
1159-1332 (2491)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x939d9fef...3de7ff
Slug
hype-updown-15m-1794468600