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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
Resolved No. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
40
No 55%
Total Value
$3.4K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
22 of 40 top traders (55%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x45948551...58214e
Slug
hormuz-agreement-and-oil-below-80-and-the-democrats-win-the-senate