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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 11°C on November 9?

Resolved No. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

No 67%

Total Value

$69.34

Combined PnL

$8.7

Smart Money Signal

No

9 of 11 top traders (82%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No9 traders

Total Value$69.34

Total Shares69

Combined PnL+$12.18

Yes2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares38

Combined PnL-$3.48

No — 82%Yes — 18%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PO Poligarch<$100	Noavg 81.1¢	$43.37	$53.48	+$10.11	55% 26062-21353 (47415)
GH ghorrock<$100	Noavg 87¢	$13.8	$15.86	+$2.07	57% 25537-19073 (44610)
LU luciebotCTR<$100	Yesavg 9.1¢	$3.48	—	-$3.48	22% 3495-12142 (15637)
Lucerys<$100	Noavg 96.2¢	—	—	+$0	43% 18729-24498 (43227)
QW qwen300.fund<$100	Noavg 96.9¢	—	—	+$0	47% 47657-54243 (101900)
CI cigarettes<$100	Noavg 87.1¢	—	—	+$0	50% 66284-66816 (133100)
AN anothercoin<$100	Noavg 96.9¢	—	—	+$0	35% 1183-2186 (3369)
0X 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100	Noavg 79.1¢	—	—	+$0	46% 6200-7414 (13614)
12 123987456CTR<$100	Yesavg 4¢	—	—	+$0	30% 2958-6851 (9809)
HE HellYeahTrader<$100	Noavg 92.2¢	—	—	+$0	57% 930-710 (1640)
2B9S<$100	Noavg 89.2¢	—	—	+$0	15% 5011-29434 (34445)

Invested

$43.37

Value

$53.48

PnL

+$10.11

Record

55%

26062-21353 (47415)

Invested

$13.8

Value

$15.86

PnL

+$2.07

Record

57%

25537-19073 (44610)

luciebotCTR<$100

Invested

$3.48

Value

—

PnL

-$3.48

Record

22%

3495-12142 (15637)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

18729-24498 (43227)

qwen300.fund<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

47%

47657-54243 (101900)

cigarettes<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

66284-66816 (133100)

anothercoin<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

35%

1183-2186 (3369)

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6200-7414 (13614)

123987456CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

30%

2958-6851 (9809)

HellYeahTrader<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

930-710 (1640)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

15%

5011-29434 (34445)

Smart Money Signal

No

9 of 11 top traders (82%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x84cdeb27...87db53

Slug

highest-temperature-in-wuhan-on-november-9-2026-11c

Traders in this Market

Poligarch

No — $53.48

ghorrock

No — $15.86

luciebot

Yes — $0

Lucerys

No — $0

qwen300.fund

No — $0

cigarettes

No — $0

anothercoin

No — $0

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702

No — $0

123987456

Yes — $0

HellYeahTrader

No — $0

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