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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 30?
Resolved Yes. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
No 83%
Total Value
$5
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 6 top traders (83%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x552e199e...5cf2a6
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-september-30-2026-16c