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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?
Resolved Yes. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 60%
Total Value
$50.41
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x20f03629...f208d5
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-september-20-2026-15c