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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 5?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
Yes 50%
Total Value
$178.98
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 10 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc913184d...509a36
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-october-5-2026-15c