Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?
Resolved Yes. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
No 73%
Total Value
$27.27
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
8 of 11 top traders (73%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x1f7525b1...85a9ce
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-october-3-2026-13c