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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 20?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
No 50%
Total Value
$109
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 8 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb1264be6...bb549d
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-october-20-2026-15c