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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 1?
Resolved Yes. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 80%
Total Value
$52.86
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbcd2af04...bbfb69
Slug
highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-october-1-2026-15c